At the risk of stating the obvious, the recent market action in the commodities has been manic with wild gyrations of price in a wide variety of basic materials, metals, and energy.

Given these wild fluctuations in price, I thought we could look at an options trade in USO that gives a high probability of success.

In order to give a bit of a conceptual framework for this sort of trade, let me share the way I look at these. Development of precision high altitude bombing during World War II resulted in a dramatic reduction in casualties while inflicting devastating consequences to enemy forces. I view the sort of option strategy described below as the equivalent of high altitude precision bombing. We will extract substantial profit without putting ourselves at high risk of damaging anti-aircraft fire. >> Continue

J.W. Jones is the author of